NFL Heart Rate

The NFL's Most Exciting Playoff Rounds

Which postseason rounds consistently deliver the most drama—and which fall flat.

Using play-by-play win probability analysis, we measure the total movement in each game's heartbeat signature across 16 years of playoff football. Our Heart Rate Index weights games by team strength (ELO), QB rating, and playoff implications to identify which rounds consistently deliver the most dramatic games.

Seasons
From
To
Group By
Composite · Excitement

Heart Rate Index

Average excitement per game, unweighted.

Unweighted·Quality-Adjusted
1
WILD CARD '25
WILD CARD '25
37.2
2
DIVISIONAL '21
DIVISIONAL '21
35.9
3
WILD CARD '19
WILD CARD '19
27.3
4
DIVISIONAL '17
DIVISIONAL '17
25.3
5
WILD CARD '13
WILD CARD '13
25.0
6
DIVISIONAL '11
DIVISIONAL '11
24.0
7
DIVISIONAL '25
DIVISIONAL '25
23.1
8
WILD CARD '10
WILD CARD '10
22.4
9
WILD CARD '15
WILD CARD '15
22.0
10
DIVISIONAL '14
DIVISIONAL '14
19.0