The Most Exciting Games in NFL History
Using win probability to measure drama. Browse 6720+ games since 2002. Methodology
Improbable Comebacks
Dec 19, 2010
Week 15
38
31
Eagles
Giants99.8%
Oct 2, 2011
Week 4
34
30
Lions
Cowboys99.8%
Sep 18, 2022
Week 2
31
30
Jets
Browns99.8%
Jan 4, 2014
Wild Card
44
45
Chiefs
Colts99.7%
Nov 26, 2006
Week 12
21
24
Giants
Titans99.6%
Nov 14, 2005
Week 10
21
20
CowboysEagles99.5%
Oct 23, 2011
Week 7
18
15
Broncos
Dolphins99.4%
Dec 11, 2023
Week 14
28
27
Titans
Dolphins99.4%
Dec 2, 2012
Week 13
35
33
ColtsLions99.3%
Sep 7, 2025
Week 1
40
41
Ravens
Bills99.3%
Regular Season Spectaculars
Nov 15, 2020
Week 10
30
32
Bills
Cardinals51.6
Nov 19, 2018
Week 11
51
54
Chiefs
Rams51.0
Oct 16, 2022
Week 6
24
20
BillsChiefs49.4
Nov 13, 2022
Week 10
33
30
VikingsBills49.2
Nov 26, 2023
Week 12
34
37
BillsEagles46.4
Nov 15, 2015
Week 10
27
26
PatriotsGiants45.3
Oct 13, 2013
Week 6
27
30
SaintsPatriots45.1
Sep 14, 2025
Week 2
37
40
GiantsCowboys44.1
Nov 6, 2011
Week 9
24
20
GiantsPatriots43.9
Nov 16, 2025
Week 11
19
22
ChiefsBroncos43.9
Playoff Thrillers
Jan 23, 2022
Divisional Round
36
42
BillsChiefs85.7
Jan 14, 2012
Divisional Round
32
36
Saints
49ers77.7
Jan 20, 2019
AFC Championship
37
31
PatriotsChiefs64.2
Feb 11, 2024
Super Bowl
22
25
49ersChiefs62.2
Jan 24, 2010
NFC Championship
28
31
VikingsSaints61.7
Feb 1, 2015
Super Bowl
28
24
Patriots
Seahawks60.3
Feb 12, 2023
Super Bowl
38
35
ChiefsEagles59.0
Jan 26, 2025
AFC Championship
29
32
BillsChiefs58.4
Jan 17, 2026
Divisional Round
30
33
BillsBroncos58.3
Jan 29, 2023
AFC Championship
20
23
BengalsChiefs58.0
2025 Season Top Games
Jan 17, 2026
Divisional Round
30
33
BillsBroncos58.3
Jan 11, 2026
Wild Card
27
24
Bills
Jaguars51.3
Jan 11, 2026
Wild Card
23
19
49ersEagles48.1
Jan 18, 2026
Divisional Round
20
17
Rams
Bears45.4
Sep 14, 2025
Week 2
37
40
GiantsCowboys44.1
Nov 16, 2025
Week 11
19
22
ChiefsBroncos43.9
Sep 7, 2025
Week 1
40
41
RavensBills42.1
Dec 18, 2025
Week 16
37
38
RamsSeahawks41.8
Jan 10, 2026
Wild Card
27
31
PackersBears40.6
Oct 2, 2025
Week 5
26
23
49ersRams38.5
Analysis & Trends
Dive deeper into win probability data across teams and playoff rounds
Team Win Probability Analysis
Fight Score, Heartbreak Score, and Heart Rate Index by team. See which teams thrive under pressure and which collapse in close games.
Comeback Analysis•Team Rankings
Playoff Round Analysis
Measure playoff drama across Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Super Bowl games since 2010.
Playoff Data•Round Rankings
Every Team's Best Wins
The most exciting wins, biggest comebacks, and biggest upsets for all 32 teams
Bills
Jan 11, 2026
Wild Card
27
24
51.3
Oct 16, 2022
Week 6
24
20
49.4
Jan 19, 2025
Divisional Round
25
27
46.4
Biggest Comeback
Sep 7, 2025
Week 1
40
41
99.3%
Biggest Upset
Sep 23, 2018
Week 3
27
6
+16.5
Dolphins
Dec 9, 2018
Week 14
33
34
42.0
Sep 25, 2022
Week 3
19
21
38.3
Sep 10, 2023
Week 1
36
34
36.1
Biggest Comeback
Sep 18, 2022
Week 2
42
38
98.5%
Biggest Upset
Dec 29, 2019
Week 17
27
24
+17.5
Patriots
Jan 20, 2019
AFC Championship
37
31
64.2
Feb 1, 2015
Super Bowl
28
24
60.3
Jan 14, 2007
Divisional Round
24
21
51.7
Biggest Comeback
Nov 24, 2013
Week 12
31
34
98.8%
Biggest Upset
Sep 11, 2016
Week 1
23
21
+9.0
Jets
Jan 8, 2011
Wild Card
17
16
43.2
Jan 16, 2011
Divisional Round
28
21
38.3
Jan 8, 2005
Wild Card
20
17
38.1
Biggest Comeback
Sep 18, 2022
Week 2
31
30
99.8%
Biggest Upset
Dec 20, 2020
Week 15
23
20
+17.5
Ravens
Jan 12, 2013
Divisional Round
38
35
50.9
Feb 3, 2013
Super Bowl
34
31
45.9
Nov 7, 2024
Week 10
34
35
41.0
Biggest Comeback
Nov 23, 2003
Week 12
41
44
99.0%
Biggest Upset
Dec 27, 2015
Week 16
17
20
+11.0
Bengals
Jan 22, 2022
Divisional Round
19
16
49.6
Jan 30, 2022
AFC Championship
27
24
42.6
Sep 30, 2018
Week 4
37
36
39.4
Biggest Comeback
Dec 5, 2004
Week 13
27
26
98.7%
Biggest Upset
Dec 21, 2020
Week 15
17
27
+14.5
Browns
Oct 22, 2023
Week 7
39
38
35.3
Oct 27, 2024
Week 8
24
29
34.0
Nov 28, 2010
Week 12
23
24
33.0
Biggest Comeback
Sep 22, 2002
Week 3
31
28
98.8%
Biggest Upset
Oct 24, 2010
Week 7
30
17
+12.0
Steelers
Jan 15, 2006
Divisional Round
21
18
47.5
Jan 9, 2016
Wild Card
18
16
46.2
Jan 15, 2011
Divisional Round
24
31
43.6
Biggest Comeback
Sep 11, 2022
Week 1
23
20
96.8%
Biggest Upset
Oct 16, 2022
Week 6
18
20
+10.0
Texans
Jan 4, 2020
Wild Card
19
22
42.6
Nov 20, 2025
Week 12
19
23
36.2
Nov 22, 2012
Week 12
34
31
35.6
Biggest Comeback
Nov 9, 2025
Week 10
29
36
98.5%
Biggest Upset
Dec 8, 2002
Week 14
24
6
+14.0
Colts
Jan 21, 2007
AFC Championship
34
38
56.3
Dec 26, 2004
Week 16
31
34
36.6
Nov 15, 2009
Week 10
34
35
36.5
Biggest Comeback
Jan 4, 2014
Wild Card
44
45
99.7%
Biggest Upset
Oct 6, 2019
Week 5
19
13
+10.5
Jaguars
Jan 5, 2008
Wild Card
31
29
36.4
Jan 14, 2018
Divisional Round
45
42
35.5
Nov 10, 2002
Week 10
7
26
35.3
Biggest Comeback
Jan 14, 2023
Wild Card
30
31
30.7
Biggest Upset
Nov 7, 2021
Week 9
6
9
+14.5
Titans
Jan 11, 2003
Divisional Round
31
34
40.5
Jan 11, 2020
Divisional Round
28
12
36.4
Oct 18, 2021
Week 6
31
34
34.9
Biggest Comeback
Nov 26, 2006
Week 12
21
24
99.6%
Biggest Upset
Dec 11, 2023
Week 14
28
27
+14.0
Broncos
Jan 17, 2026
Divisional Round
30
33
58.3
Jan 24, 2016
AFC Championship
18
20
49.7
Feb 7, 2016
Super Bowl
10
24
45.2
Biggest Comeback
Oct 23, 2011
Week 7
18
15
99.4%
Biggest Upset
Nov 7, 2021
Week 9
30
16
+10.5
Chiefs
Jan 23, 2022
Divisional Round
36
42
85.7
Feb 11, 2024
Super Bowl
22
25
62.2
Feb 12, 2023
Super Bowl
38
35
59.0
Biggest Comeback
Feb 11, 2024
Super Bowl
22
25
98.9%
Biggest Upset
Sep 30, 2007
Week 4
30
16
+12.0
Chargers
Jan 13, 2008
Divisional Round
28
24
52.0
Jan 3, 2009
Wild Card
17
23
49.7
Dec 18, 2005
Week 15
26
17
41.3
Biggest Comeback
Dec 20, 2014
Week 16
38
35
97.6%
Biggest Upset
Jan 13, 2008
Divisional Round
28
24
+10.5
Raiders
Oct 19, 2017
Week 7
30
31
36.8
Oct 9, 2011
Week 5
25
20
34.2
Jan 9, 2022
Week 18
32
35
33.5
Biggest Comeback
Nov 28, 2004
Week 12
25
24
97.7%
Biggest Upset
Dec 6, 2009
Week 13
27
24
+14.5
Cowboys
Sep 14, 2025
Week 2
37
40
44.1
Jan 4, 2015
Wild Card
20
24
42.2
Dec 24, 2022
Week 16
34
40
40.7
Biggest Comeback
Nov 14, 2005
Week 10
21
20
99.5%
Biggest Upset
Sep 29, 2002
Week 4
13
10
+12.0
Giants
Jan 22, 2012
NFC Championship
20
17
52.2
Feb 3, 2008
Super Bowl
17
14
49.7
Feb 5, 2012
Super Bowl
21
17
48.3
Biggest Comeback
Oct 3, 2021
Week 4
27
21
97.6%
Biggest Upset
Oct 15, 2017
Week 6
23
10
+14.0
Eagles
Feb 4, 2018
Super Bowl
41
33
55.4
Jan 13, 2018
Divisional Round
10
15
48.2
Nov 26, 2023
Week 12
34
37
46.4
Biggest Comeback
Dec 19, 2010
Week 15
38
31
99.8%
Biggest Upset
Dec 16, 2018
Week 15
30
23
+13.5
Commanders
Jan 12, 2025
Wild Card
23
20
56.7
Jan 18, 2025
Divisional Round
45
31
42.2
Oct 27, 2024
Week 8
15
18
38.6
Biggest Comeback
Sep 19, 2005
Week 2
14
13
98.2%
Biggest Upset
Nov 14, 2022
Week 10
32
21
+11.0
Bears
Jan 10, 2026
Wild Card
27
31
40.6
Jan 14, 2007
Divisional Round
24
27
40.0
Jan 5, 2025
Week 18
24
22
34.6
Biggest Comeback
Sep 27, 2020
Week 3
30
26
98.7%
Biggest Upset
Nov 23, 2003
Week 12
19
10
+10.5
Lions
Oct 25, 2020
Week 7
23
22
35.4
Oct 27, 2013
Week 8
30
31
35.2
Oct 20, 2024
Week 7
31
29
34.5
Biggest Comeback
Oct 2, 2011
Week 4
34
30
99.8%
Biggest Upset
Dec 31, 2006
Week 17
39
31
+13.5
Packers
Jan 15, 2017
Divisional Round
34
31
52.2
Oct 28, 2021
Week 8
24
21
40.5
Jan 11, 2015
Divisional Round
21
26
38.6
Biggest Comeback
Dec 15, 2013
Week 15
37
36
98.6%
Biggest Upset
Nov 13, 2005
Week 10
33
25
+9.5
Vikings
Jan 14, 2018
Divisional Round
24
29
57.1
Nov 13, 2022
Week 10
33
30
49.2
Jan 5, 2020
Wild Card
26
20
44.3
Biggest Comeback
Dec 17, 2022
Week 15
36
39
18.8
Biggest Upset
Dec 28, 2010
Week 16
24
14
+14.0
Falcons
Sep 15, 2019
Week 2
20
24
41.3
Dec 7, 2017
Week 14
17
20
38.8
Jan 13, 2013
Divisional Round
28
30
35.9
Biggest Comeback
Sep 26, 2010
Week 3
27
24
97.1%
Biggest Upset
Nov 10, 2019
Week 10
26
9
+14.0
Panthers
Jan 10, 2004
Divisional Round
29
23
43.4
Dec 22, 2013
Week 16
13
17
36.9
Dec 6, 2015
Week 13
41
38
35.2
Biggest Comeback
Oct 21, 2018
Week 7
21
17
97.9%
Biggest Upset
Oct 23, 2022
Week 7
3
21
+13.0
Saints
Jan 24, 2010
NFC Championship
28
31
61.7
Jan 4, 2014
Wild Card
26
24
46.9
Feb 7, 2010
Super Bowl
31
17
42.9
Biggest Comeback
Oct 2, 2016
Week 4
35
34
98.8%
Biggest Upset
Dec 19, 2021
Week 15
9
0
+11.5
Buccaneers
Jan 17, 2021
Divisional Round
30
20
44.4
Jan 24, 2021
NFC Championship
31
26
44.2
Jan 19, 2003
NFC Championship
27
10
35.5
Biggest Comeback
Dec 5, 2022
Week 13
16
17
99.0%
Biggest Upset
Dec 27, 2009
Week 16
20
17
+14.0
Cardinals
Nov 15, 2020
Week 10
30
32
51.6
Jan 16, 2016
Divisional Round
20
26
49.7
Oct 26, 2014
Week 8
20
24
42.1
Biggest Comeback
Sep 18, 2022
Week 2
29
23
98.6%
Biggest Upset
Dec 2, 2018
Week 13
20
17
+13.5
Rams
Nov 19, 2018
Week 11
51
54
51.0
Jan 18, 2026
Divisional Round
20
17
45.4
Feb 13, 2022
Super Bowl
23
20
43.2
Biggest Comeback
Oct 10, 2004
Week 5
33
27
99.1%
Biggest Upset
Oct 30, 2011
Week 8
21
31
+13.5
49ers
Jan 14, 2012
Divisional Round
32
36
77.7
Jan 5, 2003
Wild Card
38
39
55.9
Jan 20, 2013
NFC Championship
28
24
48.5
Biggest Comeback
Jan 5, 2003
Wild Card
38
39
99.0%
Biggest Upset
Oct 30, 2005
Week 8
10
15
+11.5
Seahawks
Jan 18, 2015
NFC Championship
22
28
53.0
Jan 6, 2007
Wild Card
20
21
46.5
Jan 19, 2014
NFC Championship
17
23
45.2
Biggest Comeback
Dec 18, 2025
Week 16
37
38
98.8%
Biggest Upset
Oct 9, 2011
Week 5
36
25
+10.0
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