Denver Broncos
Draft Profile · 2006–2025 · 157 picks analyzed
Avg Value Over Expected
-0.9
Across 157 graded picks
Hit Rate
27%
Picks outperforming draft slot
Avg Pick Movement
+6 spots
Average redraft position change
Positional Drafting
▲OL27p
+302.7▼DB27p
-300.1Total value over expected
Draft Range Rank
▲Top 10
1st▼Round 2
26thBest / worst rank vs. league
Draft Class Performance
Year-by-year draft class rank among all teams. Color reflects relative performance.
Early grade — career still developing
Draft Investment Returns
Each circle is a draft pick, sized by capital invested. Position shows value generated versus expectations.
Biggest Steals & Busts
Top 5 picks that most outperformed or underperformed their draft slot.
Biggest Steals
| Pick | Player | Value | Redraft | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon MarshallTop Steal 2006 · WR · Central Florida | 111.3 | #119→#4 | +93.3 | |
| Von MillerTop Steal 2011 · LB · Texas A&M | 130.4 | #2→#1 | +68.2 | |
| Elvis DumervilTop Steal 2006 · DE · Louisville | 82.0 | #126→#11 | +64.7 | |
| Matt ParadisTop Steal 2014 · OL · Boise St. | 73.7 | #207→#21 | +64.5 | |
| Quinn MeinerzTop Steal 2021 · OL · Wisconsin–Whitewater | 83.7 | #98→#8 | +62.5 |
Biggest Busts
| Pick | Player | Value | Redraft | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahdae BarronBust 2025 · DB · Texas | -2.3 | #20→#218 | -51.6 | |
| Paxton LynchBust 2016 · QB · Memphis | -1.7 | #26→#247 | -47.5 | |
| Jarvis MossBust 2007 · DE · Florida | 4.2 | #17→#133 | -46.9 | |
| Tim TebowBust 2010 · QB · Florida | 5.1 | #25→#148 | -41.3 | |
| Alphonso SmithBust 2009 · DB · Wake Forest | 2.4 | #37→#155 | -37.8 |
Pick Range Performance
How Denver Broncos performs in each draft slot range compared to the league average.
Range
Picks
vs. League Avg
Rank
Complete Draft History
Every draft pick since 2006.
157 picks
Pick | Player | Rd | Year | Value | Diff | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20257 picks-137.922nd of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Jahdae BarronEarly DB · Texas | 1 | 2025 | -2.3 | -51.6 | 17 |
| RJ HarveyEarly RB · Central Florida | 2 | 2025 | 12.5 | -19.3 | 17 |
| Pat BryantEarly WR · Illinois | 3 | 2025 | 7.5 | -19.9 | 15 |
| Sai'vion JonesEarly DE · LSU | 3 | 2025 | 1.6 | -19.0 | 3 |
| Quandarrius RobinsonEarly LB · Alabama | 4 | 2025 | 4.6 | -11.9 | 6 |
| Jeremy CrawshawEarly P · Florida | 6 | 2025 | 1.3 | -7.3 | 17 |
| Caleb LohnerEarly TE · Utah | 7 | 2025 | -1.5 | -9.0 | |
20247 picks-20.71st of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Bo NixRising Star QB · Oregon | 1 | 2024 | 59.1 | +4.7 | 34 |
| Jonah EllissEarly DE · Utah | 3 | 2024 | 16.7 | -10.1 | 30 |
| Troy FranklinEarly WR · Oregon | 4 | 2024 | 6.0 | -14.4 | 33 |
| Kris Abrams-DraineEarly DB · Missouri | 5 | 2024 | 12.6 | -2.7 | 22 |
| Audric EstimeEarly RB · Notre Dame | 5 | 2024 | 13.1 | -2.0 | 20 |
| Devaughn VeleEarly WR · Utah | 7 | 2024 | 18.0 | +10.3 | 26 |
| Nick GargiuloEarly OL · South Carolina | 7 | 2024 | 0.7 | -6.5 | |
20235 picks-75.826th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Marvin Mims WR · Oklahoma | 2 | 2023 | 12.7 | -18.1 | 48 |
| Drew SandersLikely Bust LB · Arkansas | 3 | 2023 | -2.0 | -31.6 | 21 |
| Riley Moss DB · Iowa | 3 | 2023 | 5.9 | -18.9 | 45 |
| JL Skinner S · Boise St. | 6 | 2023 | 3.2 | -7.9 | 33 |
| Alex Forsyth OL · Oregon | 7 | 2023 | 7.8 | +0.7 | 34 |
20229 picks-59.918th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Nik BonittoSteal LB · Oklahoma | 2 | 2022 | 55.0 | +24.5 | 64 |
| Greg Dulcich TE · UCLA | 3 | 2022 | 11.9 | -13.7 | 31 |
| Damarri Mathis DB · Pittsburgh | 4 | 2022 | -0.1 | -18.6 | 43 |
| Eyioma Uwazurike DE · Iowa St. | 4 | 2022 | 0.6 | -17.7 | 29 |
| Delarrin Turner-Yell S · Oklahoma | 5 | 2022 | -2.1 | -16.6 | 31 |
| Montrell Washington WR · Samford | 5 | 2022 | 1.5 | -11.8 | 22 |
| Luke Wattenberg OL · Washington | 5 | 2022 | 24.9 | +12.6 | 51 |
| Matt Henningsen DE · Wisconsin | 6 | 2022 | -1.0 | -10.2 | 34 |
| Faion Hicks DB · Wisconsin | 7 | 2022 | -0.5 | -8.3 | 4 |
202110 picks+88.93rd of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Patrick Surtain II DB · Alabama | 1 | 2021 | 77.3 | +20.8 | 80 |
| Javonte Williams RB · North Carolina | 2 | 2021 | 45.7 | +4.5 | 70 |
| Quinn MeinerzTop Steal OL · Wisconsin–Whitewater | 3 | 2021 | 83.7 | +62.5 | 79 |
| Baron Browning LB · Ohio St. | 3 | 2021 | 16.1 | -3.8 | 66 |
| Caden Sterns DB · Texas | 5 | 2021 | 15.6 | +1.1 | 21 |
| Jamar Johnson DB · Indiana | 5 | 2021 | 4.6 | -8.5 | 3 |
| Seth Williams WR · Auburn | 6 | 2021 | 4.1 | -4.3 | 2 |
| Kary Vincent Jr. DB · LSU | 7 | 2021 | -0.8 | -8.4 | 2 |
| Jonathon CooperTop Steal DE · Ohio St. | 7 | 2021 | 41.7 | +34.1 | 81 |
| Marquiss Spencer DE · Mississippi St. | 7 | 2021 | -2.0 | -9.2 | 1 |
202010 picks-92.024th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Jerry Jeudy WR · Alabama | 1 | 2020 | 48.5 | -3.9 | 91 |
| KJ HamlerBust WR · Penn St. | 2 | 2020 | 4.4 | -32.0 | 23 |
| Michael Ojemudia DB · Iowa | 3 | 2020 | 5.2 | -21.3 | 22 |
| Lloyd Cushenberry III OL · LSU | 3 | 2020 | 25.3 | +0.5 | 80 |
| McTelvin Agim DT · Arkansas | 3 | 2020 | -2.0 | -23.8 | 18 |
| Albert Okwuegbunam TE · Missouri | 4 | 2020 | 10.0 | -8.1 | 31 |
| Justin Strnad LB · Wake Forest | 5 | 2020 | 19.1 | +7.5 | 83 |
| Netane Muti OL · Fresno St. | 6 | 2020 | 5.9 | -5.4 | 22 |
| Tyrie Cleveland WR · Florida | 7 | 2020 | 1.6 | -5.6 | 23 |
| Derrek Tuszka LB · North Dakota St. | 7 | 2020 | 7.3 | +0.1 | 39 |
20196 picks-64.828th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Noah Fant TE · Iowa | 1 | 2019 | 28.6 | -20.7 | 110 |
| Dalton Risner OL · Kansas St. | 2 | 2019 | 32.4 | -6.0 | 101 |
| Drew Lock QB · Missouri | 2 | 2019 | 10.9 | -27.1 | 41 |
| Dre'Mont Jones DT · Ohio St. | 3 | 2019 | 33.6 | +5.3 | 108 |
| Justin Hollins LB · Oregon | 5 | 2019 | 8.2 | -5.8 | 67 |
| Juwann Winfree WR · Colorado | 6 | 2019 | 0.3 | -10.4 | 23 |
201810 picks-14.117th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Bradley Chubb DE · North Carolina St. | 1 | 2018 | 62.2 | +2.6 | 90 |
| Courtland SuttonTop Steal WR · SMU | 2 | 2018 | 66.9 | +28.0 | 115 |
| Royce Freeman RB · Oregon | 3 | 2018 | 16.3 | -12.0 | 79 |
| Isaac Yiadom DB · Boston Col. | 3 | 2018 | 27.2 | +6.2 | 118 |
| Josey Jewell LB · Iowa | 4 | 2018 | 35.4 | +15.7 | 90 |
| DaeSean Hamilton WR · Penn St. | 4 | 2018 | 0.8 | -17.9 | 46 |
| Troy Fumagalli TE · Wisconsin | 5 | 2018 | 2.9 | -11.1 | 19 |
| Sam Jones OL · Arizona St. | 6 | 2018 | 0.8 | -10.3 | 5 |
| Keishawn Bierria LB · Washington | 6 | 2018 | 1.9 | -6.6 | 21 |
| David Williams RB · Arkansas | 7 | 2018 | -0.6 | -8.7 | 6 |
20178 picks-14.322nd of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Garett BollesTop Steal OL · Utah | 1 | 2017 | 92.2 | +42.9 | 133 |
| DeMarcus Walker DE · Florida St. | 2 | 2017 | 30.1 | -4.6 | 101 |
| Carlos Henderson WR · Louisiana Tech | 3 | 2017 | -0.1 | -25.1 | |
| Brendan Langley DB · Lamar | 3 | 2017 | -1.6 | -22.2 | 16 |
| Jake Butt TE · Michigan | 5 | 2017 | -0.3 | -15.6 | 8 |
| Isaiah McKenzie WR · Georgia | 5 | 2017 | 30.2 | +18.0 | 93 |
| De'Angelo Henderson RB · Coastal Carolina | 6 | 2017 | 2.6 | -6.9 | 8 |
| Chad Kelly QB · Mississippi | 7 | 2017 | 6.4 | -0.8 | 1 |
20168 picks+56.311th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Paxton LynchBust QB · Memphis | 1 | 2016 | -1.7 | -47.5 | 5 |
| Adam Gotsis DT · Georgia Tech | 2 | 2016 | 24.6 | -6.2 | 128 |
| Justin SimmonsTop Steal S · Boston Col. | 3 | 2016 | 83.4 | +62.2 | 134 |
| Devontae Booker RB · Utah | 4 | 2016 | 14.3 | -2.0 | 93 |
| Connor McGovernSteal OL · Missouri | 5 | 2016 | 43.4 | +27.9 | 109 |
| Andy Janovich FB · Nebraska | 6 | 2016 | 13.7 | +1.9 | 77 |
| Will Parks S · Arizona | 6 | 2016 | 28.2 | +19.8 | 90 |
| Riley Dixon P · Syracuse | 7 | 2016 | 8.2 | +0.2 | 165 |
20159 picks-67.925th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Shane Ray DE · Missouri | 1 | 2015 | 22.2 | -25.3 | 49 |
| Ty Sambrailo OL · Colorado St. | 2 | 2015 | 12.9 | -19.2 | 71 |
| Jeff Heuerman TE · Ohio St. | 3 | 2015 | 12.2 | -10.3 | 51 |
| Max Garcia OL · Florida | 4 | 2015 | 31.9 | +15.3 | 122 |
| Lorenzo Doss DB · Tulane | 5 | 2015 | 8.8 | -4.3 | 16 |
| Darius Kilgo DT · Maryland | 6 | 2015 | 4.5 | -5.0 | 29 |
| Trevor Siemian QB · Northwestern | 7 | 2015 | 5.9 | -1.4 | 40 |
| Taurean Nixon DB · Tulane | 7 | 2015 | -1.9 | -9.2 | 2 |
| Josh Furman DB · Oklahoma St. | 7 | 2015 | -1.4 | -8.6 | |
20146 picks+66.76th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Bradley Roby DB · Ohio St. | 1 | 2014 | 47.6 | +4.5 | 135 |
| Cody Latimer WR · Indiana | 2 | 2014 | 20.8 | -12.2 | 66 |
| Michael SchofieldSteal OL · Michigan | 3 | 2014 | 43.4 | +21.6 | 113 |
| Lamin Barrow LB · LSU | 5 | 2014 | 0.1 | -13.9 | 32 |
| Matt ParadisTop Steal OL · Boise St. | 6 | 2014 | 73.7 | +64.5 | 98 |
| Corey Nelson LB · Oklahoma | 7 | 2014 | 9.8 | +2.3 | 61 |
20137 picks-88.629th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Sylvester Williams DT · North Carolina | 1 | 2013 | 30.4 | -14.3 | 102 |
| Montee Ball RB · Wisconsin | 2 | 2013 | 11.5 | -20.9 | 21 |
| Kayvon Webster DB · South Florida | 3 | 2013 | 8.9 | -14.1 | 69 |
| Quanterus Smith DE · Western Kentucky | 5 | 2013 | -1.6 | -16.8 | 15 |
| Tavarres King WR · Georgia | 5 | 2013 | 8.1 | -5.3 | 17 |
| Vinston Painter OL · Virginia Tech | 6 | 2013 | 4.3 | -7.8 | 14 |
| Zac Dysert QB · Miami (OH) | 7 | 2013 | -1.7 | -9.4 | |
20127 picks+51.310th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Derek WolfeTop Steal DT · Cincinnati | 2 | 2012 | 69.1 | +28.4 | 122 |
| Brock Osweiler QB · Arizona St. | 2 | 2012 | 11.7 | -21.0 | 49 |
| Ronnie Hillman RB · San Diego St. | 3 | 2012 | 7.3 | -22.3 | 56 |
| Omar Bolden DB · Arizona St. | 4 | 2012 | 3.0 | -17.6 | 56 |
| Philip Blake OL · Baylor | 4 | 2012 | 0.6 | -18.8 | |
| Malik JacksonTop Steal DT · Tennessee | 5 | 2012 | 68.0 | +51.8 | 142 |
| Danny TrevathanTop Steal LB · Kentucky | 6 | 2012 | 61.4 | +50.7 | 117 |
20119 picks+77.17th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Von MillerTop Steal LB · Texas A&M | 1 | 2011 | 130.4 | +68.2 | 203 |
| Rahim Moore DB · UCLA | 2 | 2011 | 24.5 | -12.3 | 64 |
| Orlando Franklin OL · Miami (FL) | 2 | 2011 | 57.0 | +20.6 | 90 |
| Nate Irving LB · North Carolina St. | 3 | 2011 | 13.8 | -15.8 | 62 |
| Quinton Carter DB · Oklahoma | 4 | 2011 | -2.5 | -21.9 | 30 |
| Julius ThomasTop Steal TE · Portland St. | 4 | 2011 | 45.7 | +28.7 | 71 |
| Mike Mohamed LB · California | 6 | 2011 | 11.7 | +1.1 | 26 |
| Virgil Green TE · Nevada | 7 | 2011 | 25.6 | +16.2 | 137 |
| Jeremy Beal DE · Oklahoma | 7 | 2011 | -0.4 | -7.8 | |
20109 picks+53.910th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Demaryius ThomasTop Steal WR · Georgia Tech | 1 | 2010 | 96.6 | +48.5 | 143 |
| Tim TebowBust QB · Florida | 1 | 2010 | 5.1 | -41.3 | 35 |
| Zane Beadles OL · Utah | 2 | 2010 | 57.4 | +20.6 | 137 |
| J.D. Walton OL · Baylor | 3 | 2010 | 22.6 | -3.0 | 56 |
| Eric DeckerTop Steal WR · Minnesota | 3 | 2010 | 64.6 | +40.9 | 111 |
| Perrish Cox DB · Oklahoma St. | 5 | 2010 | 23.2 | +7.0 | 81 |
| Eric Olsen OL · Notre Dame | 6 | 2010 | 4.1 | -7.0 | 23 |
| Syd'Quan Thompson DB · California | 7 | 2010 | 4.1 | -4.0 | 13 |
| Jammie Kirlew DE · Indiana | 7 | 2010 | 0.0 | -7.8 | 1 |
200910 picks-145.431st of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Knowshon Moreno RB · Georgia | 1 | 2009 | 40.3 | -14.1 | 63 |
| Robert Ayers DE · Tennessee | 1 | 2009 | 65.7 | +15.2 | 120 |
| Alphonso SmithBust DB · Wake Forest | 2 | 2009 | 2.4 | -37.8 | 42 |
| Darcel McBathBust DB · Texas Tech | 2 | 2009 | 6.7 | -29.0 | 37 |
| Richard Quinn TE · North Carolina | 2 | 2009 | 2.9 | -27.6 | 30 |
| David Bruton DB · Notre Dame | 4 | 2009 | 18.8 | +0.2 | 108 |
| Seth Olsen OL · Iowa | 4 | 2009 | 0.4 | -16.3 | 14 |
| Kenny McKinley WR · South Carolina | 5 | 2009 | 0.0 | -15.8 | 8 |
| Tom Brandstater QB · Fresno St. | 6 | 2009 | -0.1 | -12.1 | 1 |
| Blake Schlueter OL · TCU | 7 | 2009 | 0.0 | -8.1 | |
20089 picks+47.68th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Ryan CladySteal OL · Boise St. | 1 | 2008 | 81.8 | +27.4 | 107 |
| Eddie Royal WR · Virginia Tech | 2 | 2008 | 47.0 | +9.0 | 116 |
| Kory LichtensteigerTop Steal OL · Bowling Green | 4 | 2008 | 47.9 | +28.5 | 93 |
| Jack Williams DB · Kent St. | 4 | 2008 | 2.3 | -15.7 | 22 |
| Ryan Torain RB · Arizona St. | 5 | 2008 | 11.1 | -4.9 | 22 |
| Carlton Powell DT · Virginia Tech | 5 | 2008 | -1.0 | -16.0 | 3 |
| Spencer Larsen LB · Arizona | 6 | 2008 | 6.2 | -4.9 | 63 |
| Josh Barrett DB · Arizona St. | 7 | 2008 | 3.4 | -5.0 | 25 |
| Peyton HillisTop Steal FB · Arkansas | 7 | 2008 | 37.2 | +29.2 | 81 |
20074 picks-72.832nd of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Jarvis MossBust DE · Florida | 1 | 2007 | 4.2 | -46.9 | 53 |
| Tim CrowderBust DE · Texas | 2 | 2007 | -2.4 | -35.4 | 60 |
| Ryan HarrisSteal OL · Notre Dame | 3 | 2007 | 55.3 | +26.7 | 114 |
| Marcus Thomas DT · Florida | 4 | 2007 | 0.7 | -17.1 | 76 |
20067 picks+266.81st of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Jay CutlerTop Steal QB · Vanderbilt | 1 | 2006 | 83.5 | +28.4 | 153 |
| Tony SchefflerSteal TE · Western Michigan | 2 | 2006 | 54.0 | +22.6 | 107 |
| Brandon MarshallTop Steal WR · Central Florida | 4 | 2006 | 111.3 | +93.3 | 179 |
| Elvis DumervilTop Steal DE · Louisville | 4 | 2006 | 82.0 | +64.7 | 162 |
| Domenik Hixon WR · Akron | 4 | 2006 | 36.0 | +19.1 | 76 |
| Chris KuperTop Steal OL · North Dakota | 5 | 2006 | 62.0 | +48.6 | 90 |
| Greg Eslinger OL · Minnesota | 6 | 2006 | 0.0 | -9.8 | |
Frequently Asked Questions
Common questions about the Denver Broncos's draft history.
Who is the best draft pick in Denver Broncos history?
Brandon Marshall (WR), drafted #119 overall in 2006, is the Denver Broncos's best value pick with +93 points over expected. In a redraft, Brandon Marshall would go #4 overall.
Who is the biggest draft bust in Denver Broncos history?
Jahdae Barron (DB), picked #20 in 2025, underperformed by 52 points vs. expected. Redraft value places Jahdae Barron at #218 overall.
How well do the Denver Broncos draft?
From 2006–2025, the Denver Broncos average -0.9 value over expected per pick across 157 graded selections. 27% of their picks outperform their draft slot.
What was the Denver Broncos's best draft class?
The 2006 class ranks 1st among all teams that year, with 7 picks averaging +38.1 value over expected.
How many draft steals and busts have the Denver Broncos had?
Since 2006, the Denver Broncos have found 25 draft steals and had 19 busts or significant disappointments out of 157 graded picks.
