Atlanta Falcons
Draft Profile · 2006–2025 · 145 picks analyzed
Avg Value Over Expected
-2.3
Across 145 graded picks
Hit Rate
30%
Picks outperforming draft slot
Avg Pick Movement
+1 spots
Average redraft position change
Positional Drafting
▲WR13p
+91.0▼DE19p
-324.8Total value over expected
Draft Range Rank
▲Rounds 4-5
3rd▼Round 2
30thBest / worst rank vs. league
Draft Class Performance
Year-by-year draft class rank among all teams. Color reflects relative performance.
Early grade — career still developing
Draft Investment Returns
Each circle is a draft pick, sized by capital invested. Position shows value generated versus expectations.
Biggest Steals & Busts
Top 5 picks that most outperformed or underperformed their draft slot.
Biggest Steals
| Pick | Player | Value | Redraft | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt RyanTop Steal 2008 · QB · Boston Col. | 137.0 | #3→#1 | +75.7 | |
| Grady JarrettTop Steal 2015 · DT · Clemson | 89.8 | #137→#4 | +73.6 | |
| Julio JonesTop Steal 2011 · WR · Alabama | 127.2 | #6→#3 | +68.4 | |
| Chris LindstromTop Steal 2019 · OL · Boston Col. | 103.2 | #14→#3 | +50.1 | |
| Tyler AllgeierTop Steal 2022 · RB · BYU | 60.0 | #151→#20 | +45.4 |
Biggest Busts
| Pick | Player | Value | Redraft | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peria JerryBust 2009 · DT · Mississippi | -2.2 | #24→#251 | -49.1 | |
| James PearceBust 2025 · DE · Tennessee | -0.5 | #26→#161 | -46.3 | |
| Ruke OrhorhoroBust 2024 · DT · Clemson | -3.5 | #35→#256 | -44.7 | |
| Jamaal AndersonBust 2007 · DE · Arkansas | 13.3 | #8→#101 | -44.0 | |
| Michael PenixBust 2024 · QB · Washington | 17.1 | #8→#53 | -40.1 |
Pick Range Performance
How Atlanta Falcons performs in each draft slot range compared to the league average.
Range
Picks
vs. League Avg
Rank
Complete Draft History
Every draft pick since 2006.
145 picks
Pick | Player | Rd | Year | Value | Diff | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20255 picks-109.427th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Jalon WalkerEarly Promise DE · Georgia | 1 | 2025 | 15.1 | -37.3 | 15 |
| James PearceEarly DE · Tennessee | 1 | 2025 | -0.5 | -46.3 | 17 |
| Xavier WattsRising Star S · Notre Dame | 3 | 2025 | 23.8 | +2.2 | 17 |
| Billy BowmanEarly S · Oklahoma | 4 | 2025 | -2.3 | -20.4 | 6 |
| Jack NelsonEarly OL · Wisconsin | 7 | 2025 | 0.9 | -7.6 | 10 |
20248 picks-172.230th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Michael PenixEarly QB · Washington | 1 | 2024 | 17.1 | -40.1 | 14 |
| Ruke OrhorhoroEarly DT · Clemson | 2 | 2024 | -3.5 | -44.7 | 25 |
| Bralen TriceEarly DE · Washington | 3 | 2024 | 0.9 | -26.5 | |
| Brandon DorlusEarly DE · Oregon | 4 | 2024 | 8.3 | -10.9 | 17 |
| JD BertrandEarly LB · Notre Dame | 5 | 2024 | -2.7 | -18.3 | 27 |
| Jase McClellanEarly RB · Alabama | 6 | 2024 | 1.8 | -9.0 | 2 |
| Casey WashingtonEarly WR · Illinois | 6 | 2024 | 0.2 | -10.5 | 15 |
| Zion LogueEarly DE · Georgia | 6 | 2024 | -2.2 | -12.1 | 5 |
20236 picks+1.34th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Bijan RobinsonLikely Steal RB · Texas | 1 | 2023 | 82.3 | +25.1 | 51 |
| Matthew Bergeron OL · Syracuse | 2 | 2023 | 28.6 | -11.2 | 49 |
| Zach Harrison DE · Ohio St. | 3 | 2023 | 10.8 | -16.3 | 40 |
| Clark Phillips DB · Utah | 4 | 2023 | 13.7 | -5.0 | 28 |
| DeMarcco Hellams DB · Alabama | 7 | 2023 | 17.1 | +8.9 | 26 |
| Jovaughn Gwyn OL · South Carolina | 7 | 2023 | 7.9 | -0.2 | 19 |
20228 picks-46.917th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Drake LondonSteal WR · USC | 1 | 2022 | 83.6 | +26.4 | 62 |
| Arnold Ebiketie DE · Penn St. | 2 | 2022 | 30.8 | -9.0 | 67 |
| Troy AndersenBust LB · Montana St. | 2 | 2022 | -2.4 | -34.8 | 26 |
| Desmond RidderBust QB · Cincinnati | 3 | 2022 | -0.7 | -28.1 | 25 |
| DeAngelo Malone DE · Western Kentucky | 3 | 2022 | -1.8 | -26.8 | 58 |
| Tyler AllgeierTop Steal RB · BYU | 5 | 2022 | 60.0 | +45.4 | 67 |
| Justin Shaffer OL · Georgia | 6 | 2022 | -0.2 | -10.7 | |
| John FitzPatrick TE · Georgia | 6 | 2022 | -0.5 | -9.3 | 33 |
20219 picks-78.221st of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Kyle Pitts TE · Florida | 1 | 2021 | 53.0 | -7.4 | 78 |
| Richie GrantBust DB · Central Florida | 2 | 2021 | 6.1 | -32.8 | 68 |
| Jalen MayfieldBust OL · Michigan | 3 | 2021 | -2.8 | -32.0 | 19 |
| Darren Hall DB · San Diego St. | 4 | 2021 | 11.2 | -8.2 | 48 |
| Drew DalmanTop Steal OL · Stanford | 4 | 2021 | 53.4 | +34.8 | 74 |
| Ta'Quon Graham DE · Texas | 5 | 2021 | 13.8 | -1.2 | 51 |
| Adetokunbo Ogundeji DE · Notre Dame | 5 | 2021 | -1.8 | -13.0 | 35 |
| Avery Williams DB · Boise St. | 5 | 2021 | 1.1 | -10.0 | 50 |
| Frank Darby WR · Arizona St. | 6 | 2021 | 2.4 | -8.3 | 16 |
20206 picks-9.716th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| AJ Terrell DB · Clemson | 1 | 2020 | 50.9 | -0.9 | 93 |
| Marlon DavidsonBust DE · Auburn | 2 | 2020 | 1.8 | -34.3 | 25 |
| Matt Hennessy OL · Temple | 3 | 2020 | 34.3 | +8.1 | 64 |
| Mykal Walker LB · Fresno St. | 4 | 2020 | 25.2 | +7.2 | 88 |
| Jaylinn Hawkins S · California | 4 | 2020 | 34.2 | +17.7 | 90 |
| Sterling Hofrichter P · Syracuse | 7 | 2020 | 0.4 | -7.6 | 18 |
20197 picks+15.610th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Chris LindstromTop Steal OL · Boston Col. | 1 | 2019 | 103.2 | +50.1 | 105 |
| Kaleb McGary OL · Washington | 1 | 2019 | 62.0 | +18.9 | 93 |
| Kendall Sheffield DB · Ohio St. | 4 | 2019 | -0.6 | -19.6 | 51 |
| John Cominsky DE · Charleston (WV) | 4 | 2019 | 21.8 | +5.4 | 57 |
| Qadree Ollison RB · Pittsburgh | 5 | 2019 | -0.5 | -15.0 | 24 |
| Jordan Miller DB · Washington | 5 | 2019 | -1.3 | -13.5 | 12 |
| Marcus Green WR · La-Monroe | 6 | 2019 | -1.2 | -10.7 | |
20186 picks+68.74th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Calvin RidleySteal WR · Alabama | 1 | 2018 | 67.1 | +21.3 | 90 |
| Isaiah Oliver DB · Colorado | 2 | 2018 | 26.8 | -5.6 | 110 |
| Deadrin Senat DT · South Florida | 3 | 2018 | 13.0 | -10.0 | 37 |
| Ito Smith RB · Southern Miss | 4 | 2018 | 6.2 | -11.1 | 36 |
| Russell GageTop Steal WR · LSU | 6 | 2018 | 43.3 | +33.1 | 75 |
| Foyesade OluokunTop Steal S · Yale | 6 | 2018 | 50.6 | +40.9 | 128 |
20176 picks-24.027th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Takkarist McKinley DE · UCLA | 1 | 2017 | 24.1 | -21.7 | 71 |
| Duke Riley LB · LSU | 3 | 2017 | 16.0 | -11.1 | 124 |
| Sean Harlow OL · Oregon St. | 4 | 2017 | 0.5 | -15.8 | 41 |
| Damontae KazeeTop Steal DB · San Diego St. | 5 | 2017 | 48.3 | +33.4 | 111 |
| Brian Hill RB · Wyoming | 5 | 2017 | 7.3 | -6.7 | 48 |
| Eric Saubert TE · Drake | 5 | 2017 | 9.9 | -2.1 | 112 |
20166 picks+105.32nd of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Keanu Neal S · Florida | 1 | 2016 | 36.5 | -14.6 | 89 |
| Deion JonesTop Steal LB · LSU | 2 | 2016 | 67.9 | +33.6 | 128 |
| Austin HooperSteal TE · Stanford | 3 | 2016 | 48.3 | +23.0 | 155 |
| De'Vondre CampbellTop Steal LB · Minnesota | 4 | 2016 | 62.1 | +43.6 | 128 |
| Wes SchweitzerSteal OL · San Jose St. | 6 | 2016 | 36.0 | +25.9 | 90 |
| Devin Fuller WR · UCLA | 7 | 2016 | 1.4 | -6.2 | |
20157 picks+29.29th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Vic Beasley LB · Clemson | 1 | 2015 | 30.8 | -26.4 | 88 |
| Jalen Collins DB · LSU | 2 | 2015 | 19.3 | -18.7 | 24 |
| Tevin Coleman RB · Indiana | 3 | 2015 | 38.2 | +10.5 | 94 |
| Justin Hardy WR · East Carolina | 4 | 2015 | 17.5 | -2.0 | 73 |
| Grady JarrettTop Steal DT · Clemson | 5 | 2015 | 89.8 | +73.6 | 166 |
| Jake Rodgers OL · Eastern Washington | 7 | 2015 | 4.4 | -3.7 | 19 |
| Akeem King DB · San Jose St. | 7 | 2015 | 3.3 | -4.0 | 34 |
20149 picks-1.017th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Jake MatthewsSteal OL · Texas A&M | 1 | 2014 | 84.3 | +25.5 | 196 |
| Ra'Shede HagemanBust DT · Minnesota | 2 | 2014 | 9.2 | -31.0 | 44 |
| Dezmen SouthwardBust DB · Wisconsin | 3 | 2014 | -0.9 | -30.1 | 20 |
| Devonta FreemanSteal RB · Florida St. | 4 | 2014 | 48.2 | +28.0 | 98 |
| Prince Shembo LB · Notre Dame | 4 | 2014 | 4.3 | -11.7 | 16 |
| Ricardo AllenTop Steal DB · Purdue | 5 | 2014 | 56.8 | +41.7 | 91 |
| Marquis Spruill LB · Syracuse | 5 | 2014 | -0.1 | -12.7 | |
| Yawin Smallwood LB · Connecticut | 7 | 2014 | 2.3 | -4.9 | |
| Tyler Starr LB · South Dakota | 7 | 2014 | 1.5 | -5.7 | 1 |
20138 picks-1.918th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Desmond Trufant DB · Washington | 1 | 2013 | 59.9 | +11.8 | 113 |
| Robert Alford DB · Southeastern Louisiana | 2 | 2013 | 40.7 | +8.9 | 101 |
| Malliciah Goodman DE · Clemson | 4 | 2013 | 5.4 | -11.8 | 37 |
| Levine Toilolo TE · Stanford | 4 | 2013 | 15.7 | -0.9 | 124 |
| Stansly Maponga DE · TCU | 5 | 2013 | 3.1 | -11.3 | 26 |
| Kemal Ishmael DB · Central Florida | 7 | 2013 | 21.8 | +14.3 | 95 |
| Zeke Motta DB · Notre Dame | 7 | 2013 | 1.4 | -6.0 | 10 |
| Sean Renfree QB · Duke | 7 | 2013 | 0.4 | -6.9 | 2 |
20126 picks-58.430th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Peter Konz OL · Wisconsin | 2 | 2012 | 9.1 | -24.3 | 39 |
| Lamar Holmes OL · Southern Miss | 3 | 2012 | 6.8 | -15.9 | 21 |
| Bradie Ewing RB · Wisconsin | 5 | 2012 | 0.8 | -13.1 | 2 |
| Jonathan Massaquoi DE · Troy | 5 | 2012 | 21.1 | +8.0 | 39 |
| Charles Mitchell DB · Mississippi St. | 6 | 2012 | 1.0 | -9.3 | 10 |
| Travian Robertson DT · South Carolina | 7 | 2012 | 3.5 | -3.8 | 13 |
20116 picks+71.82nd of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Julio JonesTop Steal WR · Alabama | 1 | 2011 | 127.2 | +68.4 | 166 |
| Akeem Dent LB · Georgia | 3 | 2011 | 16.5 | -6.2 | 90 |
| Jacquizz RodgersTop Steal RB · Oregon St. | 5 | 2011 | 43.4 | +28.1 | 110 |
| Matthew Bosher K · Miami (FL) | 6 | 2011 | 6.2 | -4.1 | 130 |
| Andrew Jackson OL · Fresno St. | 7 | 2011 | 0.0 | -9.0 | |
| Cliff Matthews DE · South Carolina | 7 | 2011 | 2.6 | -5.3 | 35 |
20107 picks-48.428th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Sean WeatherspoonBust LB · Missouri | 1 | 2010 | 19.1 | -30.8 | 67 |
| Corey Peters DT · Kentucky | 3 | 2010 | 36.0 | +11.2 | 164 |
| Mike Johnson OL · Alabama | 3 | 2010 | 8.1 | -13.1 | 18 |
| Joe Hawley OL · UNLV | 4 | 2010 | 37.7 | +19.5 | 91 |
| Dominique Franks DB · Oklahoma | 5 | 2010 | 5.2 | -11.2 | 52 |
| Kerry Meier WR · Kansas | 5 | 2010 | -0.5 | -13.5 | 12 |
| Shann Schillinger DB · Montana | 6 | 2010 | 1.7 | -10.6 | 37 |
20098 picks-8.115th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Peria JerryBust DT · Mississippi | 1 | 2009 | -2.2 | -49.1 | 64 |
| William Moore DB · Missouri | 2 | 2009 | 31.3 | -2.0 | 76 |
| Chris Owens DB · San Jose St. | 3 | 2009 | 18.7 | -4.3 | 87 |
| Lawrence Sidbury DE · Richmond | 4 | 2009 | 6.9 | -10.5 | 50 |
| William Middleton DB · Furman | 5 | 2009 | 24.8 | +8.7 | 49 |
| Garrett ReynoldsTop Steal OL · North Carolina | 5 | 2009 | 44.8 | +30.8 | 68 |
| Spencer Adkins LB · Miami (FL) | 6 | 2009 | 3.9 | -7.9 | 24 |
| Vance WalkerSteal DT · Georgia Tech | 7 | 2009 | 35.2 | +26.2 | 104 |
200811 picks+48.19th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Matt RyanTop Steal QB · Boston Col. | 1 | 2008 | 137.0 | +75.7 | 234 |
| Sam Baker OL · USC | 1 | 2008 | 48.4 | -0.3 | 70 |
| Curtis Lofton LB · Oklahoma | 2 | 2008 | 45.8 | +5.6 | 128 |
| Chevis Jackson DB · LSU | 3 | 2008 | 10.7 | -18.5 | 33 |
| Harry Douglas WR · Louisville | 3 | 2008 | 29.6 | +5.1 | 118 |
| Thomas DeCoud DB · California | 3 | 2008 | 31.0 | +9.8 | 104 |
| Robert James LB · Arizona St. | 5 | 2008 | 0.4 | -15.7 | 19 |
| Kroy Biermann LB · Montana | 5 | 2008 | 30.2 | +15.9 | 114 |
| Thomas Brown RB · Georgia | 6 | 2008 | 0.0 | -12.2 | |
| Wilrey Fontenot DB · Arizona | 7 | 2008 | 0.0 | -8.8 | |
| Keith Zinger TE · LSU | 7 | 2008 | -0.7 | -8.5 | 15 |
200711 picks-58.320th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Jamaal AndersonBust DE · Arkansas | 1 | 2007 | 13.3 | -44.0 | 77 |
| Justin Blalock OL · Texas | 2 | 2007 | 59.5 | +20.2 | 125 |
| Chris Houston DB · Arkansas | 2 | 2007 | 38.0 | -0.4 | 99 |
| Laurent Robinson WR · Illinois St. | 3 | 2007 | 27.5 | +0.4 | 59 |
| Stephen Nicholas LB · South Florida | 4 | 2007 | 26.4 | +7.2 | 101 |
| Martrez Milner TE · Georgia | 4 | 2007 | -1.1 | -17.7 | 8 |
| Trey Lewis DT · Washburn | 6 | 2007 | 5.9 | -5.0 | 18 |
| David Irons DB · Auburn | 6 | 2007 | 0.4 | -9.8 | 20 |
| Doug Datish OL · Ohio St. | 6 | 2007 | 0.0 | -9.8 | |
| Daren Stone DB · Maine | 6 | 2007 | 0.9 | -8.6 | 20 |
| Jason Snelling RB · Virginia | 7 | 2007 | 16.6 | +9.2 | 96 |
20065 picks-61.929th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Jimmy Williams DB · Virginia Tech | 2 | 2006 | 13.2 | -27.0 | 27 |
| Jerious Norwood RB · Mississippi St. | 3 | 2006 | 19.6 | -6.3 | 66 |
| Quinn Ojinnaka OL · Syracuse | 5 | 2006 | 8.1 | -7.9 | 62 |
| Adam Jennings WR · Fresno St. | 6 | 2006 | -1.5 | -12.5 | 46 |
| D.J. Shockley QB · Georgia | 7 | 2006 | 0.0 | -8.2 | |
Frequently Asked Questions
Common questions about the Atlanta Falcons's draft history.
Who is the best draft pick in Atlanta Falcons history?
Matt Ryan (QB), drafted #3 overall in 2008, is the Atlanta Falcons's best value pick with +76 points over expected. In a redraft, Matt Ryan would go #1 overall.
Who is the biggest draft bust in Atlanta Falcons history?
Peria Jerry (DT), picked #24 in 2009, underperformed by 49 points vs. expected. Redraft value places Peria Jerry at #251 overall.
How well do the Atlanta Falcons draft?
From 2006–2025, the Atlanta Falcons average -2.3 value over expected per pick across 145 graded selections. 30% of their picks outperform their draft slot.
What was the Atlanta Falcons's best draft class?
The 2011 class ranks 2nd among all teams that year, with 6 picks averaging +12.0 value over expected.
How many draft steals and busts have the Atlanta Falcons had?
Since 2006, the Atlanta Falcons have found 22 draft steals and had 20 busts or significant disappointments out of 145 graded picks.
