Denver Broncos
Draft Profile · 2006–2025 · 157 picks analyzed
Avg Value Over Expected
-0.7
Across 157 graded picks
Hit Rate
23%
Picks outperforming draft slot
Avg Pick Movement
+7 spots
Average redraft position change
Positional Drafting
▲OL27p
+229.4▼DB20p
-151.4Total value over expected
Draft Range Rank
▲Top 10
2nd▼Round 2
26thBest / worst rank vs. league
Draft Class Performance
Year-by-year draft class rank among all teams. Color reflects relative performance.
Early grade — career still developing
Draft Investment Returns
Each circle is a draft pick, sized by capital invested. Position shows value generated versus expectations.
Biggest Steals & Busts
Top 5 picks that most outperformed or underperformed their draft slot.
Biggest Steals
| Pick | Player | Value | Redraft | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon MarshallTop Steal 2006 · WR · Central Florida | 83.2 | #119→#4 | +72.9 | |
| Von MillerTop Steal 2011 · LB · Texas A&M | 103.4 | #2→#2 | +59.1 | |
| Quinn MeinerzTop Steal 2021 · OL · Wisconsin–Whitewater | 64.5 | #98→#6 | +51.9 | |
| Justin SimmonsTop Steal 2016 · S · Boston Col. | 60.6 | #98→#14 | +48.0 | |
| Matt ParadisTop Steal 2014 · OL · Boise St. | 51.9 | #207→#19 | +47.2 |
Biggest Busts
| Pick | Player | Value | Redraft | +/- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarvis MossBust 2007 · DE · Florida | 1.7 | #17→#134 | -33.5 | |
| Paxton LynchBust 2016 · QB · Memphis | -0.7 | #26→#231 | -31.6 | |
| Tim TebowBust 2010 · QB · Florida | 0.7 | #25→#154 | -30.6 | |
| Alphonso SmithBust 2009 · DB · Wake Forest | 0.3 | #37→#155 | -26.3 | |
| KJ HamlerBust 2020 · WR · Penn St. | 0.1 | #46→#155 | -23.6 |
Pick Range Performance
How Denver Broncos performs in each draft slot range compared to the league average.
Range
Picks
vs. League Avg
Rank
Complete Draft History
Every draft pick since 2006.
157 picks
Pick | Player | Rd | Year | Value | Diff | GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20257 picks-86.524th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Jahdae BarronEarly DB · Texas | 1 | 2025 | -1.0 | -34.7 | 17 |
| RJ HarveyEarly Promise RB · Central Florida | 2 | 2025 | 8.3 | -11.8 | 17 |
| Pat BryantEarly WR · Illinois | 3 | 2025 | 3.1 | -13.8 | 15 |
| Sai'vion JonesEarly DE · LSU | 3 | 2025 | 1.2 | -11.0 | 3 |
| Quandarrius RobinsonEarly LB · Alabama | 4 | 2025 | 1.5 | -7.8 | 6 |
| Jeremy CrawshawEarly P · Florida | 6 | 2025 | 0.7 | -3.6 | 17 |
| Caleb LohnerEarly TE · Utah | 7 | 2025 | 0.0 | -3.7 | |
20247 picks-27.43rd of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Bo NixRising Star QB · Oregon | 1 | 2024 | 38.5 | +0.6 | 34 |
| Jonah EllissEarly DE · Utah | 3 | 2024 | 4.4 | -12.0 | 30 |
| Troy FranklinEarly WR · Oregon | 4 | 2024 | 2.3 | -9.8 | 33 |
| Kris Abrams-DraineEarly DB · Missouri | 5 | 2024 | 1.8 | -6.8 | 22 |
| Audric EstimeEarly RB · Notre Dame | 5 | 2024 | 4.9 | -3.5 | 20 |
| Devaughn VeleEarly WR · Utah | 7 | 2024 | 11.5 | +7.7 | 26 |
| Nick GargiuloEarly OL · South Carolina | 7 | 2024 | 0.0 | -3.5 | |
20235 picks-45.424th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Marvin Mims WR · Oklahoma | 2 | 2023 | 10.8 | -8.6 | 48 |
| Drew Sanders LB · Arkansas | 3 | 2023 | -1.0 | -19.5 | 21 |
| Riley Moss DB · Iowa | 3 | 2023 | 4.7 | -10.3 | 45 |
| JL Skinner S · Boise St. | 6 | 2023 | -0.2 | -6.0 | 33 |
| Alex Forsyth OL · Oregon | 7 | 2023 | 2.5 | -1.0 | 34 |
20229 picks-33.116th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Nik Bonitto LB · Oklahoma | 2 | 2022 | 33.3 | +14.1 | 64 |
| Greg Dulcich TE · UCLA | 3 | 2022 | 5.8 | -9.8 | 31 |
| Damarri Mathis DB · Pittsburgh | 4 | 2022 | -0.4 | -11.1 | 43 |
| Eyioma Uwazurike DE · Iowa St. | 4 | 2022 | 2.5 | -8.1 | 29 |
| Delarrin Turner-Yell S · Oklahoma | 5 | 2022 | -0.8 | -8.8 | 31 |
| Montrell Washington WR · Samford | 5 | 2022 | -0.1 | -7.3 | 22 |
| Luke Wattenberg OL · Washington | 5 | 2022 | 13.4 | +6.8 | 51 |
| Matt Henningsen DE · Wisconsin | 6 | 2022 | -0.5 | -5.2 | 34 |
| Faion Hicks DB · Wisconsin | 7 | 2022 | 0.2 | -3.7 | 4 |
202110 picks+63.23rd of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Patrick Surtain IITop Steal DB · Alabama | 1 | 2021 | 59.9 | +20.2 | 80 |
| Javonte Williams RB · North Carolina | 2 | 2021 | 27.3 | -0.0 | 70 |
| Quinn MeinerzTop Steal OL · Wisconsin–Whitewater | 3 | 2021 | 64.5 | +51.9 | 79 |
| Baron Browning LB · Ohio St. | 3 | 2021 | 7.3 | -4.4 | 66 |
| Caden Sterns S · Texas | 5 | 2021 | 6.2 | -1.8 | 21 |
| Jamar Johnson DB · Indiana | 5 | 2021 | 0.0 | -7.1 | 3 |
| Seth Williams WR · Auburn | 6 | 2021 | -0.3 | -4.5 | 2 |
| Kary Vincent Jr. DB · LSU | 7 | 2021 | -0.4 | -4.2 | 2 |
| Jonathon CooperSteal DE · Ohio St. | 7 | 2021 | 20.6 | +16.8 | 81 |
| Marquiss Spencer DE · Mississippi St. | 7 | 2021 | -0.1 | -3.6 | 1 |
202010 picks-79.026th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Jerry Jeudy WR · Alabama | 1 | 2020 | 32.7 | -3.6 | 91 |
| KJ HamlerBust WR · Penn St. | 2 | 2020 | 0.1 | -23.6 | 23 |
| Michael Ojemudia DB · Iowa | 3 | 2020 | -0.9 | -17.1 | 22 |
| Lloyd Cushenberry III OL · LSU | 3 | 2020 | 12.4 | -2.6 | 80 |
| McTelvin Agim DT · Arkansas | 3 | 2020 | -0.7 | -13.7 | 18 |
| Albert Okwuegbunam TE · Missouri | 4 | 2020 | 5.0 | -5.4 | 31 |
| Justin Strnad LB · Wake Forest | 5 | 2020 | 5.5 | -0.6 | 83 |
| Netane Muti OL · Fresno St. | 6 | 2020 | -0.4 | -6.4 | 22 |
| Tyrie Cleveland WR · Florida | 7 | 2020 | 1.0 | -2.6 | 23 |
| Derrek Tuszka LB · North Dakota St. | 7 | 2020 | 0.1 | -3.4 | 39 |
20196 picks-51.028th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Noah Fant TE · Iowa | 1 | 2019 | 16.4 | -17.3 | 110 |
| Dalton Risner OL · Kansas St. | 2 | 2019 | 20.4 | -4.8 | 101 |
| Drew Lock QB · Missouri | 2 | 2019 | 5.8 | -19.1 | 41 |
| Dre'Mont Jones DT · Ohio St. | 3 | 2019 | 18.4 | +0.9 | 108 |
| Justin Hollins LB · Oregon | 5 | 2019 | 3.2 | -4.5 | 67 |
| Juwann Winfree WR · Colorado | 6 | 2019 | -0.5 | -6.1 | 23 |
201810 picks-9.616th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Bradley Chubb DE · North Carolina St. | 1 | 2018 | 40.2 | -2.1 | 90 |
| Courtland SuttonTop Steal WR · SMU | 2 | 2018 | 49.7 | +24.1 | 115 |
| Royce Freeman RB · Oregon | 3 | 2018 | 8.4 | -9.1 | 79 |
| Isaac Yiadom DB · Boston Col. | 3 | 2018 | 12.2 | -0.3 | 118 |
| Josey Jewell LB · Iowa | 4 | 2018 | 21.3 | +9.7 | 90 |
| DaeSean Hamilton WR · Penn St. | 4 | 2018 | -0.6 | -11.4 | 46 |
| Troy Fumagalli TE · Wisconsin | 5 | 2018 | 0.7 | -7.0 | 19 |
| Sam Jones OL · Arizona St. | 6 | 2018 | 0.2 | -5.6 | 5 |
| Keishawn Bierria LB · Washington | 6 | 2018 | 0.5 | -3.8 | 21 |
| David Williams RB · Arkansas | 7 | 2018 | -0.1 | -4.1 | 6 |
20178 picks-13.623rd of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Garett BollesTop Steal OL · Utah | 1 | 2017 | 69.8 | +36.1 | 133 |
| DeMarcus Walker DE · Florida St. | 2 | 2017 | 11.2 | -11.2 | 101 |
| Carlos Henderson WR · Louisiana Tech | 3 | 2017 | 0.0 | -15.2 | |
| Brendan Langley DB · Lamar | 3 | 2017 | -1.0 | -13.2 | 16 |
| Jake Butt TE · Michigan | 5 | 2017 | -0.1 | -8.7 | 8 |
| Isaiah McKenzie WR · Georgia | 5 | 2017 | 13.4 | +6.9 | 93 |
| De'Angelo Henderson RB · Coastal Carolina | 6 | 2017 | 0.0 | -4.9 | 8 |
| Chad Kelly QB · Mississippi | 7 | 2017 | 0.0 | -3.5 | 1 |
20168 picks+22.813th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Paxton LynchBust QB · Memphis | 1 | 2016 | -0.7 | -31.6 | 5 |
| Adam Gotsis DT · Georgia Tech | 2 | 2016 | 12.5 | -6.9 | 128 |
| Justin SimmonsTop Steal S · Boston Col. | 3 | 2016 | 60.6 | +48.0 | 134 |
| Devontae Booker RB · Utah | 4 | 2016 | 8.0 | -1.2 | 93 |
| Connor McGovernSteal OL · Missouri | 5 | 2016 | 26.5 | +17.8 | 109 |
| Andy Janovich FB · Nebraska | 6 | 2016 | 4.9 | -1.4 | 77 |
| Will Parks S · Arizona | 6 | 2016 | 5.8 | +1.6 | 90 |
| Riley Dixon P · Syracuse | 7 | 2016 | 0.5 | -3.5 | 165 |
20159 picks-63.026th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Shane RayBust DE · Missouri | 1 | 2015 | 9.7 | -22.6 | 49 |
| Ty Sambrailo OL · Colorado St. | 2 | 2015 | 4.1 | -16.3 | 71 |
| Jeff Heuerman TE · Ohio St. | 3 | 2015 | 6.4 | -7.1 | 51 |
| Max Garcia OL · Florida | 4 | 2015 | 13.2 | +3.8 | 122 |
| Lorenzo Doss DB · Tulane | 5 | 2015 | 1.0 | -6.1 | 16 |
| Darius Kilgo DT · Maryland | 6 | 2015 | 0.1 | -4.8 | 29 |
| Trevor Siemian QB · Northwestern | 7 | 2015 | 0.8 | -2.8 | 40 |
| Taurean Nixon DB · Tulane | 7 | 2015 | -0.1 | -3.7 | 2 |
| Josh Furman DB · Oklahoma St. | 7 | 2015 | 0.0 | -3.6 | |
20146 picks+35.87th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Bradley Roby DB · Ohio St. | 1 | 2014 | 29.4 | +0.6 | 135 |
| Cody Latimer WR · Indiana | 2 | 2014 | 7.4 | -13.7 | 66 |
| Michael Schofield OL · Michigan | 3 | 2014 | 24.8 | +11.8 | 113 |
| Lamin Barrow LB · LSU | 5 | 2014 | -0.4 | -8.1 | 32 |
| Matt ParadisTop Steal OL · Boise St. | 6 | 2014 | 51.9 | +47.2 | 98 |
| Corey Nelson LB · Oklahoma | 7 | 2014 | 1.8 | -1.9 | 61 |
20137 picks-63.728th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Sylvester Williams DT · North Carolina | 1 | 2013 | 16.0 | -14.1 | 102 |
| Montee Ball RB · Wisconsin | 2 | 2013 | 9.2 | -11.4 | 21 |
| Kayvon Webster DB · South Florida | 3 | 2013 | 1.0 | -12.8 | 69 |
| Quanterus Smith DE · Western Kentucky | 5 | 2013 | -0.9 | -9.4 | 15 |
| Tavarres King WR · Georgia | 5 | 2013 | 1.6 | -5.7 | 17 |
| Vinston Painter OL · Virginia Tech | 6 | 2013 | 0.0 | -6.5 | 14 |
| Zac Dysert QB · Miami (OH) | 7 | 2013 | 0.0 | -3.8 | |
20127 picks+33.612th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Derek WolfeSteal DT · Cincinnati | 2 | 2012 | 46.7 | +19.8 | 122 |
| Brock Osweiler QB · Arizona St. | 2 | 2012 | 1.6 | -19.3 | 49 |
| Ronnie Hillman RB · San Diego St. | 3 | 2012 | 2.3 | -16.2 | 56 |
| Omar Bolden S · Arizona St. | 4 | 2012 | -0.7 | -12.9 | 56 |
| Philip Blake OL · Baylor | 4 | 2012 | 0.0 | -11.3 | |
| Malik JacksonTop Steal DT · Tennessee | 5 | 2012 | 45.5 | +36.4 | 142 |
| Danny TrevathanTop Steal LB · Kentucky | 6 | 2012 | 42.7 | +37.1 | 117 |
20119 picks+68.56th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Von MillerTop Steal LB · Texas A&M | 1 | 2011 | 103.4 | +59.1 | 203 |
| Rahim Moore S · UCLA | 2 | 2011 | 15.5 | -8.5 | 64 |
| Orlando FranklinSteal OL · Miami (FL) | 2 | 2011 | 42.4 | +18.7 | 90 |
| Nate Irving LB · North Carolina St. | 3 | 2011 | 5.3 | -13.2 | 62 |
| Quinton Carter S · Oklahoma | 4 | 2011 | -1.1 | -12.4 | 30 |
| Julius ThomasTop Steal TE · Portland St. | 4 | 2011 | 31.0 | +21.3 | 71 |
| Mike Mohamed LB · California | 6 | 2011 | 4.5 | -1.0 | 26 |
| Virgil Green TE · Nevada | 7 | 2011 | 13.0 | +8.2 | 137 |
| Jeremy Beal DE · Oklahoma | 7 | 2011 | 0.0 | -3.6 | |
20109 picks+45.89th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Demaryius ThomasTop Steal WR · Georgia Tech | 1 | 2010 | 71.2 | +38.5 | 143 |
| Tim TebowBust QB · Florida | 1 | 2010 | 0.7 | -30.6 | 35 |
| Zane Beadles OL · Utah | 2 | 2010 | 36.9 | +12.9 | 137 |
| J.D. Walton OL · Baylor | 3 | 2010 | 15.8 | +0.2 | 56 |
| Eric DeckerTop Steal WR · Minnesota | 3 | 2010 | 47.7 | +33.4 | 111 |
| Perrish Cox DB · Oklahoma St. | 5 | 2010 | 9.4 | +0.3 | 81 |
| Eric Olsen OL · Notre Dame | 6 | 2010 | 2.8 | -3.0 | 23 |
| Syd'Quan Thompson DB · California | 7 | 2010 | 2.2 | -1.9 | 13 |
| Jammie Kirlew DE · Indiana | 7 | 2010 | 0.0 | -3.9 | 1 |
200910 picks-101.631st of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Knowshon Moreno RB · Georgia | 1 | 2009 | 24.4 | -13.5 | 63 |
| Robert Ayers DE · Tennessee | 1 | 2009 | 42.9 | +8.2 | 120 |
| Alphonso SmithBust DB · Wake Forest | 2 | 2009 | 0.3 | -26.3 | 42 |
| Darcel McBath S · Texas Tech | 2 | 2009 | 3.2 | -19.9 | 37 |
| Richard Quinn TE · North Carolina | 2 | 2009 | 1.9 | -17.3 | 30 |
| David Bruton S · Notre Dame | 4 | 2009 | 7.5 | -3.3 | 108 |
| Seth Olsen OL · Iowa | 4 | 2009 | -0.7 | -10.2 | 14 |
| Kenny McKinley WR · South Carolina | 5 | 2009 | 0.0 | -8.9 | 8 |
| Tom Brandstater QB · Fresno St. | 6 | 2009 | 0.0 | -6.4 | 1 |
| Blake Schlueter OL · TCU | 7 | 2009 | 0.0 | -4.1 | |
20089 picks+44.77th of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Ryan CladyTop Steal OL · Boise St. | 1 | 2008 | 62.1 | +24.2 | 107 |
| Eddie Royal WR · Virginia Tech | 2 | 2008 | 32.9 | +8.0 | 116 |
| Kory LichtensteigerTop Steal OL · Bowling Green | 4 | 2008 | 34.3 | +23.0 | 93 |
| Jack Williams DB · Kent St. | 4 | 2008 | 0.6 | -9.7 | 22 |
| Ryan Torain RB · Arizona St. | 5 | 2008 | 6.7 | -2.3 | 22 |
| Carlton Powell DT · Virginia Tech | 5 | 2008 | -0.4 | -8.7 | 3 |
| Spencer Larsen LB · Arizona | 6 | 2008 | 2.0 | -3.8 | 63 |
| Josh Barrett S · Arizona St. | 7 | 2008 | 1.3 | -2.9 | 25 |
| Peyton HillisSteal FB · Arkansas | 7 | 2008 | 21.2 | +17.2 | 81 |
20074 picks-48.332nd of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Jarvis MossBust DE · Florida | 1 | 2007 | 1.7 | -33.5 | 53 |
| Tim CrowderBust DE · Texas | 2 | 2007 | -1.1 | -22.2 | 60 |
| Ryan HarrisSteal OL · Notre Dame | 3 | 2007 | 36.1 | +18.3 | 114 |
| Marcus Thomas DT · Florida | 4 | 2007 | -0.7 | -10.9 | 76 |
20067 picks+190.91st of 32 View draft → | ||||||
| Jay CutlerSteal QB · Vanderbilt | 1 | 2006 | 55.5 | +17.0 | 153 |
| Tony Scheffler TE · Western Michigan | 2 | 2006 | 33.0 | +13.1 | 107 |
| Brandon MarshallTop Steal WR · Central Florida | 4 | 2006 | 83.2 | +72.9 | 179 |
| Elvis DumervilTop Steal DE · Louisville | 4 | 2006 | 54.8 | +44.9 | 162 |
| Domenik Hixon WR · Akron | 4 | 2006 | 20.6 | +11.0 | 76 |
| Chris KuperTop Steal OL · North Dakota | 5 | 2006 | 44.4 | +37.1 | 90 |
| Greg Eslinger OL · Minnesota | 6 | 2006 | 0.0 | -5.1 | |
Frequently Asked Questions
Common questions about the Denver Broncos's draft history.
Who is the best draft pick in Denver Broncos history?
Brandon Marshall (WR), drafted #119 overall in 2006, is the Denver Broncos's best value pick with +73 points over expected. In a redraft, Brandon Marshall would go #4 overall.
Who is the biggest draft bust in Denver Broncos history?
Jarvis Moss (DE), picked #17 in 2007, underperformed by 34 points vs. expected. Redraft value places Jarvis Moss at #134 overall.
How well do the Denver Broncos draft?
From 2006–2025, the Denver Broncos average -0.7 value over expected per pick across 157 graded selections. 23% of their picks outperform their draft slot.
What was the Denver Broncos's best draft class?
The 2006 class ranks 1st among all teams that year, with 7 picks averaging +27.3 value over expected.
How many draft steals and busts have the Denver Broncos had?
Since 2006, the Denver Broncos have found 24 draft steals and had 18 busts or significant disappointments out of 157 graded picks.
